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When I worked in investment banking the generally received way to DCF an early-stage pharma business was to evaluate the full drug portfolio and DCF each individual drug/research project before aggregating for total value. You would estimate the cash flows for each drug (once launched) and then assign a discount value to each based on the likelihood of their actual release to market. For example, drugs in pre-clinical stage were usually assigned a value of zero. Drugs in stage 3, much closer to par discount (with par being what a publically launched drug would receive). You would forecast the cash flow for each drug by estimating its target market, sale price and penetration over 10 years etc. You typically use precedent market penetration figures to help underpin the assumptions. Once you’ve DCF’d the full portfolio, add cash reserves and that’s your total value. 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